NRFI Picks — August 12, 2026

Today's Free NRFI Pick — Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays

Today's board: 2 ELITE, 1 GREEN, 12 PASS across 15 games.

Today's complimentary pick is the NRFI in Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays.

First-inning form for Ranger Suarez (Boston Red Sox): 1% this season, 1% across his last 3.

First-inning form for José Soriano (Toronto Blue Jays): 1% this season, 1% across his last 5.

Tier: GREEN · Price: -147 · Rogers Centre

This is pick #3 on today's board. Members see the full ranked board — including picks #1 and #2 — every morning.

Yesterday's Graded Results — August 11, 2026

Yesterday's picks went 4-1.

Pick	Matchup	Price	Result	Flags
#1	Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals	-122	WIN ✅	—
#1	Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays	-157	WIN ✅	—
#2	Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago White Sox	-118	LOSS ❌	—
#3	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins	-150	WIN ✅	—
#4	Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres	-118	WIN ✅	—

Season NRFI Record

155-86 graded picks · +40.87u units · +16.957192380938814% ROI · +3.910300566666667% avg CLV.

Every released pick is graded and published — wins, losses, and postponements. See the full graded record.

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Members get the full ranked board every morning — Sharp Pass unlocks it at 9:15 AM ET with prices, break-evens, and model reasoning.

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NRFI Betting FAQ

What is an NRFI bet?

NRFI stands for No Run First Inning — a baseball bet that neither team scores in the first inning of a game. It settles as soon as the first inning ends, win or lose.

How are NRFIKING picks made?

Every MLB game on the slate is scored by a model that weighs both starting pitchers' first-inning history, recent form, and matchup context, then applies a safety checklist. Only games that clear every check qualify as picks.

Is the free NRFI pick really free?

Yes. One qualifying pick from the board is released free every day it clears the model's checklist. Members get the full ranked board earlier in the morning.

What happens on a PASS day?

If not enough games clear the safety checklist, the model passes rather than forcing a play. Passing is part of the edge — the record you see includes only real released picks.