NRFI Picks — August 18, 2026

Today's Free NRFI Pick — Seattle Mariners @ Milwaukee Brewers

Today's board: 1 ELITE, 2 YELLOW, 12 PASS across 15 games.

The free pick for today backs a scoreless first in Seattle Mariners at Milwaukee Brewers.

Bryce Miller takes the ball for Seattle Mariners with a 1% season NRFI rate and 1% in his last 5 outings.

Kyle Harrison takes the ball for Milwaukee Brewers with a 1% season NRFI rate and 1% in his last 2 outings.

Tier: YELLOW · Price: -128 · American Family Field

This is pick #3 on today's board. Members see the full ranked board — including picks #1 and #2 — every morning.

Yesterday's Graded Results — August 17, 2026

Yesterday's picks went 2-1.

Pick	Matchup	Price	Result	Flags
#1	Miami Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies	-113	WIN ✅	—
#2	Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays	-113	WIN ✅	—
#3	San Diego Padres @ New York Mets	-136	LOSS ❌	—

Season NRFI Record

155-86 graded picks · +40.87u units · +16.957192380938814% ROI · +3.910300566666667% avg CLV.

Every released pick is graded and published — wins, losses, and postponements. See the full graded record.

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NRFI Betting FAQ

What is an NRFI bet?

NRFI stands for No Run First Inning — a baseball bet that neither team scores in the first inning of a game. It settles as soon as the first inning ends, win or lose.

How are NRFIKING picks made?

Every MLB game on the slate is scored by a model that weighs both starting pitchers' first-inning history, recent form, and matchup context, then applies a safety checklist. Only games that clear every check qualify as picks.

Is the free NRFI pick really free?

Yes. One qualifying pick from the board is released free every day it clears the model's checklist. Members get the full ranked board earlier in the morning.

What happens on a PASS day?

If not enough games clear the safety checklist, the model passes rather than forcing a play. Passing is part of the edge — the record you see includes only real released picks.